Big Project (2)

Missing from the discussions in Amsterdam is the question: is it still a good idea and investment?

Lets do a quick calculation. 
Lets assume the costs increase even more, from the current projection of costs of Euro 2 billion to Euro 2.5 billion. Depreciation time 50 years, interest rate 5 %.
It is estimated by many experts that on average 200.000 people will use this metro-line per day.
This means per user per day: 0,68 Euro depreciation, 1,20 Euro interest (or per year accumulated 50 and 87 mio). Which in real terms will be reduced to 1/3 after 50 years if we assume an inflation of 2 % per year.
180px-Amsterdam2020.png
If we assume this is interest paid to our own pension funds, so to our children, do you think it is worth the investment? Just look at the map of Amsterdam, see the connection with Schiphol and the big railway hub created in the south of Amsterdam. Think about the required shift in mobility,  from cars to public transportation.
You can be sure many people and many visitors will use this line extensively.
I believe it is very much worth the effort.
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About Herman

Herman Wagter is one of the founders and co-editor of Dadamotive. His work as interim manager and consultant (Citynet Amsterdam/Fiber-to-the-Home, Platform Sustainable Mobility) has involved him directly in the impact of hyperconnectivity and sustainability on society. As an independent agent and "mobile warrior" he has experienced the pro's and con's of how organizations and projects can be structured, and what the effects on the final result can be. In his opinion we are entering an era of profound change, driven by these fundamental forces. Following the trends, discovering the fun and debunking the half-truths is a passion he likes to share with others.
Posted in: Human value.

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