Life after cheap oil: February 2009 Archives

Decentralized

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Gasification of (unedible) biomass is one of the most promising sources of renewable energy.
The sources of this biomass are by nature (pun intended) distributed geographically. 
Would it not be nice if the efficient conversion of biomass to useful energy/electricity could be decentralized, saving us the energy loss of trucking all this biomass to a big factory and distributing electricty and heat back again? Creating the possibility of cooperative energy companies, owned by the users themselves.

Nexterra aims to create these decentralized systems. They are starting to test 2 MWe systems in a relatively small form factor. 


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A wonderful world with wonderful inventions

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Different tack

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Most people think that hybrid propulsion systems are only useful in cars. The nice thing is that even in boats a hybrid makes sense. Even a tugboat. Ecogeek reports.

The Carolyn Dorothy, displayed before a large crowd in the Long Beach, California area on January 23, was built by Seattle, Washington-based Foss Maritime. This tug joins a fleet of existing standard tugboats servicing the needs of the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach.

So what exactly makes this Green Assist tug a hybrid? Foss first detailed this project back in 2007. In place of a traditional tugboat engine, this boat is powered by two 670 horsepower battery packs coupled with two 335 horsepower diesel generators.

Oops....

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The power of crowdsourcing: Slashdot readers pick up a giant error. 
(Source Slashdot, hattip Dirk)

Arctic Ice Extent Understated Because of "Sensor Drift"

dtjohnson writes "The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) has been at the forefront of predicting doom in the arctic as ice melts due to global warming. In May, 2008 they went so far as to predict that the North Pole would be ice-free during the 2008 'melt season,' leading to a lively Slashdot discussion. Today, however, they say that they have been the victims of 'sensor drift' that led to an underestimation of Arctic ice extent by as much as 500,000 square kilometers. The problem was discovered after they received emails from puzzled readers, asking why obviously sea-ice-covered regions were showing up as ice-free, open ocean. It turns out that the NSIDC relies on an older, less-reliable method of tracking sea ice extent called SSM/I that does not agree with a newer method called AMSR-E. So why doesn't NSIDC use the newer AMSR-E data? 'We do not use AMSR-E data in our analysis because it is not consistent with our historical data.' Turns out that the AMSR-E data only goes back to 2002, which is probably not long enough for the NSIDC to make sweeping conclusions about melting. The AMSR-E data is updated daily and is available to the public. Thus far, sea ice extent in 2009 is tracking ahead of 2005, 2006, 2007, and 2008, so the predictions of an ice-free north pole might be premature."

Low hanging fruit

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A recent report showed how big the impact can be of relatively simple measures.

If all states in the USA would copy the energy saving methods of the top 10 states, the electric energy consumption of the country would be reduced by 30 %. 

Nano power

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When we hear the word "fuel cell" we tend to think about pumps and valves and stacks and the works. Complex installations.
But when you minaturize the fuel cell, everything starts to get solid state and simple. Two recent publications show what you could get. Very interesting way of approaching the technology.

A sugar cubed cell (shown right) and a very, very small chip (shown left)

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Look and ye shall find

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It always amazes me how inventive we can become once we really start to put our hearts and minds into solving a problem. Like this: shock absorbers in a car kill motion energy. Motion energy from wheels moving up and down. Why not regenerate the energy back to the propulsion system? 

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Variation

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More and more prototypes and real commercial vehicles are presented that use an unusual configuration : 2 steering/tilting wheels in front, one in back. The Piaggio MP3 is to be credited with kicking off the trend, but others are following. There is a logic to it: 3 wheeled vehicles are stable and much safer than motocycles. 2 Wheels in front means more rubber in contact with the road, which leads to better steering and braking. 
Some Dutch guys have applied this concept to an electric e-assist cycle. 


Still some way to go

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The Department of Energy in the USA has released its 2008 Annual Progress Report on for the Energy Storage Research and Development Vehicle Technologies Program. In short: their view of the state of the art in battery technologies for cars.
They identify the challenges.

"The high-energy efforts are focused on overcoming the technical barriers associated with commercialization of PHEV batteries, namely:
  • Cost - The current cost of Li-based batteries (the most promising chemistry) is approximately a factor of three-five too high on a kWh basis. The main cost drivers being addressed are the high cost of raw materials and materials processing, the cost of cell and module packaging, and manufacturing costs.
  • Performance - The performance barriers include the need for much higher energy densities to meet the volume/weight requirements, especially for the 40-mile system, and to reduce the number of cells in the battery (thus reducing system cost).
  • Abuse Tolerance - Many Li batteries are not intrinsically tolerant to abusive conditions such as a short circuit (including an internal short circuit), overcharge, over-discharge, crush, or exposure to fire and/or other high temperature environments. The use of Li chemistry in these larger (energy) batteries increases the urgency to address these issues.
  • Life - The ability to attain a 15-year life, or 300,000 HEV cycles, or 5,000 EV cycles are unproven and are anticipated to be difficult. Specifically, the impact of combined EV/HEV cycling on battery life is unknown and extended time at high state of charge (SOC) is predicted to limit battery life."

I just wonder if they have set the target at replacing a gasoline car without any compromise. Usually new technology is first driven to mimic and surpass old technology (which is very hard). But quite often you can witness a whole new disruptive approach in the next phase, where new technology suddenly is used differently.
I have a feeling this report is in phase 1.

Indian Climate Solutions

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Thomas Friendman tells a very encouraging story in the New York Times on two young women who have just driven an electric car with roof-top solar panels all over India in a "climate caravan" to highlight the solutions to global warming being developed by Indian companies, communities, campuses and innovators, as well as to inspire others to take reva.jpgaction. Best part in my opinion is where they point out the American and Chinese embassies. The U.S. Embassy's roof is loaded with antennae and listening gear. The Chinese Embassy's roof is loaded with ... new Chinese-made solar hot-water heaters. Another great example that we might have to look eastwards for green innovation in stead of westwards.

Days of Building Sprawl Are Over

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HST.jpgGreen Car Congress reports that responding to a question from a city councilwoman about transportation and infrastructure in the stimulus bill during a town hall forum in Ft. Myers, Florida, President Obama said that the days of just building sprawl are over. He mentioned further that transportation is not just fixing our old transportation systems but its also imaging new transportation systems and that we should be using this money to help spur this kind of innovative thinking when it comes to transportation. That will make a big difference. Yes, he gives hope. Let's help him realize his plans! The discussion below the article on Green Car Congress is not bad at all, by the way. And to show that the conservatives in Britain are good friends with Obama, the Tories presented what they call a long-term vision for the railways, which includes a high-speed north-south rail line between Manchester and London.

 

Demand and Price

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The International Energy Agency said global demand for oil is expected to fall 1.2% this year, the biggest annual drop in 27 years, as U.S. consumption declines and Chinese growth weakens. According to the Wall Street Journal U.S. crude prices are down nearly 75% from a July peak of $147 a barrel. What other products exist where such a relatively small change in demand causes such a massive drop in price? As far as I know only products where there are also big changes on the supply side. Which is not the case with oil in the short term (say 5 years). The only other explanation is pure speculation. Or the futures market, as it is called nicely.

Bio massive

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Many experts believe that biomass  (or more specific biowaste plus specific non-edible crops that do not compete with food production) can produce a massive amount of renewable (bio-) gas. In quantities that can make a very large impact on mobility.

Recently several studies were released that all point in this direction.

The first on is a report of the Energy Transition Task Force in the Netherlands called "Biomass; Hot Issue Smart Choices"(3.4 Mbyte). The report tries to take a balanced view, given the fact that the biofuel craziness in the USA (subsidizing corn farmers to produce ethanol) has raised serious doubts on the ethics and viability of biofuels. 
The potential of biomass/biowaste is estimated as being very interesting.

Secondly the National Grid of the UK has produced a report that shows that UK biowaste could supply 50 % (18.000 million cubic meters) of the residential natural gas demand in the UK. The efficiency of injecting cleaned bio-methane into the gasinfrastructure is much higher than powering electricity plants which produce 70 % waste heat. Investments needed: 10 billion pounds. Quite competitive with other renewable sources.

At the same time researchers are publishing progress in converting cellulose (a non-edible waste product) into liquids for biofuel or a fully functional process to convert cornstalks in to biogas and energy..

And for anybody who likes to tinker himself: "Build your own algae bioreactor to produce biofuel"

E-bug

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Americans always loved their VW Beetles. So it comes as no surprise that a producer of golfcarts, facing a downturn in orders tries a new tack by producing conversion kits for VW Beetles to E-Bugs. Fun and business at the same time.
Source : Zoomilife


Eye candy

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We tend to focus on the development of alternative drive systems for cars, but there is a lot going on in two-wheelers. I like the outrageous designs that are cooked up, vibrating with power and speed. I like the fresh and uninhibited approaches: let's try it all, even hydrogen powered fuel cells in motorcycles. Zoomi Life tracks a lot of these developments, here are a few.

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A hydrogen fuel cell motor cycle built by college students:

Testing the all electric racer.

Citynet of heat

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District heating ("stadsverwarming") is associated by some people with old flats in the former Soviet union. It is problably not well known that it is still in use in many Western countries including the Netherlands. Stadsverwarming.jpg

The technology is starting a second life: using waste heat from existing power stations is a logical method to reduce CO2 emissions. Waste heat can even be used to create cold: like a small camping refrigerator powered by a gasflame. 

In Amsterdam there are plans to go one step further. Near Amsterdam you have 3 independent power and heat generating plants of considerable size. The plan is to create a hot water ringnet connecting all three plants: a citynet for heat. The first advantage is that the supply of hot water to users can be garantueed, even if one plant is off-line. The second advantage is that other suppliers of heat can be attached in the future: like biomass power plants, creating more competition and more flexibility.

Like all infrastructure projects, this is not easy or cheap. Even the legal environment is not quite adapted yet. Nevertheless: SchaalsprongDEF-051108.pdf reads like a primer on district heating. Recommended..

Forward

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You can see more when you walk. Like this surprise on the Rhoneweg in Amsterdam.

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Truckland, a regional dealer of trucks has taking the initiative in 2008 to import an electric version of a Fiat Doblo. The Micro-Vett has a range of approx. 150 km with a recharge time of 5 hrs. Topspeed is approx. 115 km/hr.  Practical specifications as far as I am concerned.

The only drawback is the high purchase price. Understandable if you have to convert new cars. For a passenger-version the difference (including all taxes and VAT) is roughly 50.000 euro versus 20.000 euro for the standard petrol version. You cannot recoup this difference by reduced operational costs unfortunately, unless other benefits/subsidies can be added. Like extended access schedules for inner cities ("venstertijden").


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Thorium Reactors

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Indian infrastructure player Punj Llyod and US-based Throium Power, which signed an MoU last month to form a 50:50 joint venture company for exploring commercial nuclear power opportunities, are targeting an investment of up to $1 billion in the venture.

"We are looking at an investment of several million dollars or up to a billion in the coming years, depending on how India's government allows commercialisation of nuclear power sector," Dennis Hays, vice-president of Thorium Power, said on the Indian Business Standard website.

thorite.jpgIn this time where more and more voices are calling for a return to Nuclear Power this raises the interesting question how much nuclear fuel is available in the world. Clearly the different parties do not agree here. Where the Nuclear Energy Agency announced a year ago that we would have enough resources long into the future, others state that with slightly increased nuclear demand we will run out of the easy to mine uranium within thirty years or so and that then we need to turn to other potentially more dangerous sources.

A Canadian Nuclear Engineer, Dr Jeremy Whitlock, maintains a very interesting website on the subject, where we can find the, in my opinion most realistic, answer that in principle there is a lot of uranium available, but that it fully depends on how much we are willing to pay for it. Moreover, the developments in reactor technology are still going on and the efficiency of nuclear reactors still leaves a lot of room for improvement. Finally, thorium, which is about three times more available than uranium in the form of thorite (see picture), can also be used as fuel. And this possibly explains the Indian joint venture mentioned above, since India has one of the worlds largest thorium reserves. Interesting, but I still do not know where I stand on the subject of nuclear energy...

Test drive

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Apparently GM (and other manufacturers as well) has some 100 fuel-cell cars on the road for testing. See the video  (Source Ecogeek)


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