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        <title>Dadamotive</title>
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        <item>
            <title>The definition of wealth</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="display: inline;"><a href="http://www.dadamotive.com/assets_c/2009/09/the_origin_of_wealth-919.html" onclick="window.open('http://www.dadamotive.com/assets_c/2009/09/the_origin_of_wealth-919.html','popup','width=248,height=380,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0'); return false"><img src="http://www.dadamotive.com/assets_c/2009/09/the_origin_of_wealth-thumb-250x383-919.jpg" width="250" height="383" alt="the_origin_of_wealth.jpg" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a></span> <div>The summer is a good time to digest food for thought. The book "The Origin of Wealth" by Eric Beinhocker has proven to be a fertile breeding ground for my mind.</div><div><br /></div><div><p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Beinhocker
poses the question: what is the origin of our incredible wealth and why does it
keep growing? <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Classical
economic theory does not give an answer. He shows how classical economics is
like the medical profession centuries ago. Doctors are doing their best, <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>struggling to help patients, relying on
inadequate and limited diagnostic tools, plausible but incorrect theoretical
models and assumptions, rules-of-thumb and common sense developed by trial and
error. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Since the
1980's we understand that the economy or "the market' is a specific class of
all complex systems that show emergent behavior.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp; </span>It is clear we have been moving in the direction
of more specialization of functions, more diversity in output, more
interrelations. Unfortunately our mathematical framework is not able to deal effectively
with the non-linear relationships and feedback-mechanisms innate to these
systems. A reductionist brute force approach is impossible: the computational
effort to calculate all possible states is (near) infinite. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Fortunately
computers give us the possibility to simulate these systems and understand more
of their behavior. <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>Like why big integrated
organizations or big integrated software systems are so difficult and costly to
modify (loss of stability is around the corner).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">The
interesting question is" &nbsp;how on earth it is possible for such a complex system to evolve,
to reach a stable state and to adapt to changes?<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">The simulations
show that an evolutionary approach (try many different variations simultaneously
based on best practices, select the best performing, combine them and create
new ones, <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>try again and repeat ad
infinitum) is by far the best. <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;A system</span>&nbsp;evolves very rapidly to an acceptable ("good enough") state, keeps improving continuously
and can adapt quickly to external influences or disruptions. It is far, far
better than a Big Man approach: trying to control and steer everything
top-down. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">So the continuous
"tussle" of competing variations under evolutionary pressure is the core driver
of our growing wealth. Reduce the tussle and/or reduce the evolutionary
pressure : <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>the growth of our wealth
slows down. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">The big "If"
however is the direction of the evolutionary pressure implied by "select the
best performing variations". <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>What is "better"
in a selection ? <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>Beinhocker argues "
bigger GDP, higher productivity, more profit, bigger bonus" <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>is too limited and can lead to less wealth
instead of more. We need an improved definition of "better".<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Based on
his arguments one can define <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>an increase
in wealth as:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;margin-left:36.0pt;
text-indent:-17.85pt;line-height:normal;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-bidi-font-family:Calibri;mso-ansi-language:EN-US"><span style="mso-list:Ignore">-<span style="font:7.0pt &quot;Times New Roman&quot;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">An
increase in choices and options we have how to lead our lives<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;margin-left:72.0pt;
text-indent:-17.85pt;line-height:normal;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family:&quot;Courier New&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Courier New&quot;;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US"><span style="mso-list:Ignore">o<span style="font:7.0pt &quot;Times New Roman&quot;">&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Given
the energy and time we have as individuals<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;margin-left:36.0pt;
text-indent:-17.85pt;line-height:normal;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-bidi-font-family:Calibri;mso-ansi-language:EN-US"><span style="mso-list:Ignore">-<span style="font:7.0pt &quot;Times New Roman&quot;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Without
reducing the choices and options of others , now and in the future<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;margin-left:72.0pt;
text-indent:-18.0pt;line-height:normal;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family:&quot;Courier New&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Courier New&quot;;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US"><span style="mso-list:Ignore">o<span style="font:7.0pt &quot;Times New Roman&quot;">&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Which
implies that we have to preserve <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>our
environment<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;line-height:normal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">So a better broadband pipe to an
unmitigated Internet is an increase of wealth. The end-to-end paradigm results
in an increase of wealth. <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>Price
differentiation that gives more options is an increase of wealth, but artificial
scarcity to improve profits is a decrease of wealth (Net Neutrality). <span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>Walled gardens are a decrease of wealth .<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;line-height:normal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes">&nbsp;</span>More efficiency which results in lower prices
increases wealth but the bigger increases are generated by increasing our
options: like mobile voice and mobile Internet, or search engines like Google (although
they hardly show up in GDP and productivity statistics). <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;line-height:normal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">Less "tussle" by reducing
competition slows the growth of wealth. Less evolutionary pressure by lowering
the bar overall or focusing on the lowest common denominator reduces the growth
of wealth: yes, rural areas need broadband but keep the pressure on the front
runners to keep on improving.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;line-height:normal"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language:EN-US">An inspiring definition of "better",
worth to explore further.<o:p></o:p></span></p></div>]]></description>
            <link>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/09/the-definition-of-wealth.html</link>
            <guid>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/09/the-definition-of-wealth.html</guid>
            
                <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Complexity</category>
            
            
            <pubDate>Sun, 06 Sep 2009 13:11:38 +0100</pubDate>
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            <title>Unveiling the beauty of statistics for a fact based world view</title>
            <description><![CDATA[<blockquote></blockquote><blockquote class="webkit-indent-blockquote" style="margin: 0 0 0 40px; border: none; padding: 0px;">Gapminder is a non-profit venture promoting sustainable global development and achievement of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals by increased use and understanding of statistics and other information about social, economic and environmental development at local, national and global levels.
We are a modern "museum" that helps making the world understandable, using the Internet.</blockquote><div><br /></div><div>Nice words, but they do not tell how stunning the visual &nbsp;and moving graphics are that they have created from the statistics. A real treat.</div><div><br /></div><div><a href="http://graphs.gapminder.org/world/">Check it out over here</a>. And enjoy the video about the hype on the mexican flu.</div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/V8bUtbODV-Q&rel=0&color1=0xb1b1b1&color2=0xcfcfcf&hl=sv&feature=player_embedded&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/V8bUtbODV-Q&rel=0&color1=0xb1b1b1&color2=0xcfcfcf&hl=sv&feature=player_embedded&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" allowScriptAccess="always" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>]]></description>
            <link>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/07/unveiling-the-beauty-of-statistics-for-a-fact-based-world-view.html</link>
            <guid>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/07/unveiling-the-beauty-of-statistics-for-a-fact-based-world-view.html</guid>
            
                <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Complexity</category>
            
            
            <pubDate>Sat, 25 Jul 2009 23:06:20 +0100</pubDate>
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            <title>Augmented</title>
            <description><![CDATA[We associate data-goggles with 3D-movies, entertainment. But BMW shows us how to think differently, how IT can help us with intuitive support, augmenting reality. As with the "Sixt Sense", a great indicator of how our future might very well become.<div><br /></div><div><i>(Hat tip Dirk)</i></div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><i><br /></i></div><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/P9KPJlA5yds&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/P9KPJlA5yds&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></object>]]></description>
            <link>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/07/augmented.html</link>
            <guid>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/07/augmented.html</guid>
            
                <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Complexity</category>
            
                <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Hyperconnectivity</category>
            
            
            <pubDate>Tue, 21 Jul 2009 23:43:20 +0100</pubDate>
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            <title>Jamiton</title>
            <description><![CDATA[ <div>A "<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soliton">soliton</a>" is a&nbsp;<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: -webkit-sans-serif; line-height: 19px; ">self-reinforcing solitary&nbsp;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wave" title="Wave" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(0, 43, 184); background-image: none; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; -webkit-background-clip: initial; -webkit-background-origin: initial; background-color: initial; background-position: initial initial; ">wave</a>&nbsp;(a&nbsp;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wave_packet" title="Wave packet" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(0, 43, 184); background-image: none; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; -webkit-background-clip: initial; -webkit-background-origin: initial; background-color: initial; background-position: initial initial; ">wave packet</a>&nbsp;or pulse) that maintains its shape while it travels at constant speed (Wikipedia). Researchers at MIT have discovered that the mathematics describing traffic flow under high densities are quite similar to the fluid dynamics equations that describe solitons.&nbsp;</span></div><div>They have coined the term "jamiton" (jam-soliton) to describe the well known effect that in dense traffic a traffic jam appears for no apparent reason.&nbsp;</div><div><br /></div><div>Hopefully this breakthrough will lead to knowledge how to prevent these traffic jams.</div><div><br /></div><div>(Source: <a href="http://www.wired.com/autopia/2009/06/phantom-jams/">Wired</a>)</div><div><br /></div><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Q78Kb4uLAdA&amp;rel=0&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Q78Kb4uLAdA&amp;rel=0&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always" width="425" height="344"></object>]]></description>
            <link>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/06/jamiton.html</link>
            <guid>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/06/jamiton.html</guid>
            
                <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Complexity</category>
            
            
            <pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2009 08:58:34 +0100</pubDate>
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            <title>How traffic jams are created out of thin air</title>
            <description><![CDATA[ <div>A nice Youtube movie showing the effects of drivers interacting in a stream of cars on the highway. Only a minor perturbation will ripple through the system and create shockwaves.</div><div>A fine demonstration of emergent behaviour in complex systems.</div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Suugn-p5C1M&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Suugn-p5C1M&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always" width="425" height="344"></object>]]></description>
            <link>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/06/how-traffic-jams-are-created-out-of-thin-air.html</link>
            <guid>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/06/how-traffic-jams-are-created-out-of-thin-air.html</guid>
            
                <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Complexity</category>
            
            
            <pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 20:43:21 +0100</pubDate>
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            <title>Lies, damn lies and productivity statistics</title>
            <description><![CDATA[One of my favourite blogs is <a href="http://www.evolvingexcellence.com/">Evolving Excellence</a>, dedicated to Lean Thinking in production and services. Outspoken, opiniated but well researched, practical.<div><a href="http://www.bill-waddell.com/">Bill Waddell</a>&nbsp;, one of their prominent bloggers referred in one of his blogs to a stunning fact.</div><div><br /></div><div><b>The productivity statistics as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the USA are fundamentally flawed and overrate the actual productivity.</b></div><div><br /></div><div>As <a href="http://www.bls.gov/lpc/lproffshoring.pdf">acknowledged by the BLS itself</a> in 2004.</div><div><br /></div><blockquote class="webkit-indent-blockquote" style="margin: 0 0 0 40px; border: none; padding: 0px;">"Conceptually, the impact of offshoring is more pronounced in manufacturing measures than in business sector measures, provided the domestic manufacturer is purchasing the offshored goods or services as inputs. ... If a domestic computer manufacturer switches from domestic&nbsp;to foreign suppliers of intermediate parts such as memory chips or call center services, real&nbsp;manufacturing sectoral output is unchanged because the real value of the computer is unchanged. Because U.S. jobs are lost (all other things unchanged), labor productivity will rise. If the U.S. manufacturer switches most of its production to off-shore facilities, labor productivity might rise substantially."&nbsp;</blockquote><div><div><br /></div><div>As Bill says " In other words, if the furniture factory lays off all of the people who make legs, seats and backs, and buys those parts from China, but keeps the few people who do the final chair assembly, the jobs lost to China are called "productivity"."</div><div><br /></div><div>I remember all the economists and journalists praising the USA for its high productivity growth, compared to the EU. The better system...</div><div>Apparently at least a part of it was a (convenient) damn lie, keeping the foreign investment dollars coming to the USA.</div></div><div>&nbsp;</div>]]></description>
            <link>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/06/lies-damn-lies-and-productivity-statistics.html</link>
            <guid>http://www.dadamotive.com/2009/06/lies-damn-lies-and-productivity-statistics.html</guid>
            
                <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Complexity</category>
            
            
            <pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2009 14:48:41 +0100</pubDate>
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